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Old 11-17-2005, 12:29 PM
adanthar adanthar is offline
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Join Date: Apr 2004
Posts: 27
Default Re: Taking a Coinflip in BB on the Absolute Bubble? ($109)

In a vacuum, this call is undoubtedly -$EV (off the top of my head - you are guaranteed a bit under $218 plus [1/2 share below] if you fold; if you call and win, your stack is worth [share of total prize pool minus (60x218) because that money will be paid out]; if you lose, you get 0. You can do it from here and my eyeballed guess is you lose about $50-$100 on the call). The question is whether winning and getting a bigger stack gives you enough opportunities to overcome that initial disadvantage.

I would try to stall to see if anyone with less chips busted on the hand (no shame in that here IMO), but in the end I think this is a close fold/call with something like 88. FWIW, however, most top names would call here if the read is really 'any two'.

PS: In that HH, I folded A6o. I'd have called A9 [img]/images/graemlins/tongue.gif[/img]
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