Thread: Show this down?
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Old 11-17-2005, 10:41 AM
PJM1206 PJM1206 is offline
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Join Date: May 2005
Posts: 88
Default Re: Show this down?

I suffer the same fate when it comes to calling down -- I hate to do it seems like a lot of $$ get wasted. Although I really really dont like to call down in this case I would. Here is my rationale which is pretty much the same as the other posters in general. The simple answer is your getting 14 to 1 on the call:

Looks like the hands that beat you are:
AA,AK,AJ, JJ and 66 for a total of 34 hands given 2 aces already out. In addition, there are hands that could be played like that ( depending on the opponent ) to drive you out such as ATs-A2s, KK, and QQ for a total of 30 hands so of the 64 proabable hands 53% win 47% loose at most 50-50 so givien that you are getting 14 to 1 odds you cant fold.

Not sure I did all this right but I have been trying to apply this logic to my river calls when I think I am beat. If I thought my oppoent only riased for value then I would have to revaluate the hand and consider folding earlier.
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