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Old 11-17-2005, 02:24 AM
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Default fluctuations in expected flop distribution

the chance of flopping two cards of the same suit should be roughly 47%, if my math is correct. (flopping 3 of the same suit should occur roughly 5.3% of the time) i have been playing at a site where the flop has a flush draw of two or three cards ~60.12% over the last 2,000 games in which i have participated. at what point should i become alarmed by this departure from the expected rate?

i would remark that this anomaly has been remarkably stable, in that relatively small samples duplicate these values.
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