Re: $22 - what do you think villain has and what\'s my move?
A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]x[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] - where 'x' might just be the 5
Meh...a strong flush-draw of some sorts (KQ,KJ,etc). TP, set, overpair, etc. generally shouldn't be getting this cute on this "blind-friendly" flop. I have a hunch you are indeed ahead, but I'm not spending another chip to find out. He WILL call your push...he likely has 15 outs.
equity (%) win (%) tie (%)
Hand 1: 31.4141 % 30.51% 00.91% { Qc4s }
Hand 2: 68.5859 % 67.68% 00.91% { Ah5h }
equity (%) win (%) tie (%)
Hand 1: 46.5657 % 46.36% 00.20% { Qc4s }
Hand 2: 53.4343 % 53.23% 00.20% { Ah8h }
equity (%) win (%) tie (%)
Hand 1: 51.8182 % 50.91% 00.91% { Qc4s }
Hand 2: 48.1818 % 47.27% 00.91% { KhQh }
Push it? Whelp...you did sink yourself with your pot lead here. Personally, I'd muck. You're into push/fold mode...collecting a set of blinds will get you back to square one.
[Side-bar: Do we push this if we KNOW he is on a FD? Considering the price we are NOW facing? The odds of our hand "holding up"? <- I'm asking]
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