Re: KQo in a mess on the turn
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here's what happened when i read this post.
- i saw you raise preflop
my feeling: warm and fuzzy
- i saw you get 3-bet
my feeling: sad, but hopeful
- i saw you bet the flop
my feeling: sad
now that we're here, we have to call this turn raise. i would check fold the river unimproved. he has AA/KK/QQ/JJ (maybe AQ), and even with 12 combos of AA or KK vs. 4 of QQ/JJ, i'd say you're up against QQ/JJ much more often than 1/4th of the time.
edit: only 3 combos KK. so it's QQ/JJ 4 of 13 times if he'd play them all like this.
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forgive me for saying so, but this is just bad advice. playing a line like this at .5/1 is a very bad idea, imo. let's not presume to know with such certainty what villian has, you will often be suprised and finding the right line is not just about doing your whole x number of combos routine. we can certainly be behind here but must definitely check-call the river. folding this river is a costly mistake getting 13.75-1
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