danhank - I think you give me credit by calling my analysis sophisticated. I was certain 41 was a common number and Pinnacle's line move calculations were able to confirm that. Otherwise, I knew little else. I originally made the post because I wanted to know the exact frequency of 41, which DougOz posttime confirmed to be >4%, in order to possibly increase my wager. This I did after I was fairly certain the +EV of the wager was even greater than I first thought. That it hit is testament less to my analysis than luck, but at least the price was low.