Re: roller coaster ride. How much volatility is usual?
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I've been playing hold em for about 4 months; probably about 3000 hands total in that time. I went to a casino last weekend and played 3/6 live for the first time. Anyway, I found myself down about 70 big bets ($423) really quick. Partially due to suck outs and partially due to tilting from disbelief about how much I was losing. I kept playing and finished the day up about $220 and at point was up $301 (50 big bets). I played for about 9.5 hours and figure this to be approximately 400 hands.
My question is whether it is usual to have a 120 big bet swing in a 400 hand session?
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Losing 120 big bets in 400 hands is not that rare.
Everyone sooner or later has a 300bb downswing.
But...
I expect my results to vary within plus or minus 3 standard deviations (about 45 to 60 big bets and hour)
If I'm losing more than 60 big bets an hour more than 1% of the time... something may be wrong...
take a break... think ...
Can I play and not tilt?
If the answer is no -
Go home.
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