Re: No, No, and No.
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Going for two is -EV. There is a 34% chance of success.
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This is ridiculous. There are tons of variables (momentum, defensive fatigue, offensive line skill, running back power, fullback power, etc.), that it's insane to just throw a blanket 34% chance of success down here.
And that completely changes the scenario. There's not even close to enough information to make these decisions.
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