Re: $22 Bubble Trouble 3
This isn't even close dude. If you didn't have to post your BB, you would fold here if you thought everyone would win 33% of the time. But it would only be a small mistake to call in the above situation. Perhaps a .5% mistake at most. The fact that 1/2 of your stack is in there makes this an autocall. Even if you thought you had a significant underlay, you would have to call.
Here are the #'s if you didn't have any $$$ in to start the hand. Everyone wins 33% of the time when you call and they both win 50% of the time when you fold.
EV don't call = 20.2%
EV call = 19.4%
Now when you take your blind into account...
EV fold = 15.1%
EV call = 19.4% (same as before)
What a huge difference. Easy call man.
Brad
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