[fnord_too]

I'm going to go against the prevailing oppinion of poster I pay a lot of attention to and probably call here. (I think it is pretty close though.) I really should do some math, but I am feeling too beat up after this weekend to. Part of my thinking is the BB taking a 40/60 shot here is not so great for me. Against any ace, any pair AQo is close to a 60/40 favorite (I think his range is slightly different than that, but I think 60/40 against the real range is pretty close).

Ok, here is some quick and dirty math with no ICM:

I call, 60% I have 2850ish and there are two short stacks, 40% I am out.
I fold, I have 1100, and 40% of the time I am in 4th with about halve the stack of 3'd, the other 60% I am in third with 1/4 the stack of second.

I really should ICM those, maybe later.