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Old 11-14-2005, 09:51 AM
RubbleRobble RubbleRobble is offline
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Join Date: Dec 2004
Posts: 22
Default Re: AQo flops 2-pair

Unless I'm missing something here its 75 to win 370, aka 5:1. You lose to 1 AA, 1 QQ, 3 TT's, and all 16 KJs. about 90% of the time you have 4 outs to beat the hands you are losing to, which constitutes 8% (unless my logic/math is bad, I'm out of practice) of your overall win percentage. you DESTROY 6 QT's and 6 AT's. You said he wasn't a donk, so I'll sort of ignore 66 and A/Q/T+6 for the sake of argument. You split with the 4 other AQs, so they dont really matter. All in all, you win easily 12 times for every 21 you lose. 5:1 pot odds on whats most likely a 1.75:1 proposition should be an easy decision.

That being said, it doesnt seem like it shouldn't take an analysis like that to make a call with top two at PP 200nl. a fold here is way too weak. Then again I could easily be wrong, other thoughts?
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