View Single Post
  #11  
Old 11-13-2005, 06:00 PM
W. Deranged W. Deranged is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jun 2004
Posts: 96
Default Re: 5/10, top trips, top kicker. 3bet?

An 11% pre-flop raiser might open raise 88 and 99 here, but they both need discounting, in my opinion. He'd always raise AK, maybe KQ, and possibly KJs. I don't think he's ever open-raising KTs UTG if he's really an 11.

There are 3 AKs, 4 KQ, 1 KJs; 3 88 and 3 99. I think we need to discount 88, 99, KQ, and KJs a little bit. The point is, though, that we do not have a clear equity edge (note we are chopping here a bunch of the time), and certainly not the 66% we need to merit risking two bets to win one.

We should also consider that sometimes this is something weird like JJ or maybe a pure bluff, but a three-bet isn't getting called in those situations anyway.

So I think we can just call here. It is important to realize that it really isn't all that likely that we are up against a worse K. The most likely result may actually be something like JJ, but I think that this taggish type might fold to a three-bet anyway and so I don't really see the point in a three-bet.

The basic thing I can come to is that,
Reply With Quote