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Old 11-13-2005, 02:03 PM
Josh W Josh W is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2002
Posts: 647
Default Re: Unusual AKo hand, 30-60

[ QUOTE ]


However, I think you misjudged this one. Both the bettor and the first caller can be ace-free, so there are plenty of hands that you beat.

[/ QUOTE ]

Two sentences, and yet, they contradict each other.

As I've said all throughout, yeah, I may be winning. But, in order to be winning, UTG needs to be bluffing (essentially...I did the math somewhere in this quagmire and show that maybe a 1% shot of HJ not having an ace, then UTG could have AXh....so maybe 0.3% chance of hitting that parlay).

So I'm not sure how I misjudged it. Are you saying that in your experience that when all draws miss on the river, UTGs bet into fields of 4 10% of the time?

Josh
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