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Old 11-12-2005, 02:51 PM
hellite hellite is offline
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Join Date: May 2005
Posts: 94
Default Re: expert play or lapse in judgement?

[ QUOTE ]
I disagree with you all who think that this has been horribly played.
First, the pre-flop call is a no-brainer. He's small blind with two players already in, maybe three if BB calls. He certainly has the odds to try to hit a set. Small pairs are much more playable than most people realize since they are easy to play post-flop.
And the call on the flop isn't all that bad either. One, the raiser will bet even with a hand like AQ. His 55 may be best. And if it is AND his opponent(s) make a mistake of checking the turn, he may be able to win the pot. add to that the small chance he may hit a set on the turn. Given the $ already in the pot, it is not at all unreasonable to throw in one more small bet just in case.
The only reasonable argument against that call is that there are two players behind him to act. This would push the flop call to -EV, but I don't think by much.

In fact, I would argue that if you automatically play contrary to this all the time (auto-folding SB in this situation or auto folding on the flop without thinking thru the possibilities), you are giving up significant profit potential (though it will help to reduce your variance).

(and it seems to me that the best high limit players don't shy away from the high-variance but profitable (even if marginally so) plays.)

[/ QUOTE ]

The reason small pairs "are easy to play" postflop is because the majority of the time you will be folding. Calling a tight early raiser with this hand from the small blind is far from automatic. In fact, many consider this a clear error. Regardless, unless you are HU the flop call is horrible and is clearly a money loser. Now, if preflop raiser does not have a hand, he can take a free card on the turn if he choses or make you guess and invest 2BB (on a checkraise I presume) after he bets in this rather small pot. There are so many cards that can ruin your hand on the turn and river IF YOU ARE NOT ALREADY BEAT that merely calling this flop is absurd. If I call this from the sb I have to checkraise this flop and lead the turn against most opponents.
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