Re: live hand--how good of a read do I need to fold this?
[ QUOTE ]
Think about how often you have to be wrong for raising to be incorrect. Now think about how often you have to be right to call on the turn. Now if these are not consistent then which one of your decisions was wrong?
[/ QUOTE ]
I'll give it a shot. I'm getting 4-1 on my money if everybody calls and I can fold to a 3-bet (if I can't ???).
On the turn, I was right to call if I was drawing live ~1/3 of the time (or a little less because some of my club outs might make someone a boat)
On the river, I can be pretty sure BB doesn't have just trips, a straight, or a baby flush, so this reduces the chances I am ahead.
So...(I really have no idea how to put this all together)
|