Re: Fold TPGK to 3 flush turn CR?
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what style do those stats correspond to (i.e. tight/loose, passive/neutral/agressive, etc.)?
unless he's pretty agressive i'd say you're already beat. the pot isn't that big either. probably fold.
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I have to agree. If I'm the villain I don't bluff here if I put hero on an ace. He's liable to call me down, making the bluff backfire. If I'm strong -- two pair or better -- I checkraise for value here, because nine times out of ten they call and then call again on the river.
For me, as a player, checkraising for value in a situation like that is something I do automatically the majority of the time, and I get paid off so often I feel guilty. The turn is the best time for it -- if I wake up and bet out on the turn, they may get scared. If I checkraise the turn, they already feel committed somehow, and allow themselves to be strung along down to the river. If I bet the turn and try to checkraise the river, they're more than likely going to check behind me.
If hero can lay down his hand there, it's a good fold.
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