Cross-posted from MTT
A couple weeks back, in
this thread about satellite strategy, Adanthar made this claim:
[ QUOTE ]
[*I am open to a $1000 or more wager that I can make it from a miniStep 1 (5+1) to a miniStep 5 (400+30) playing on $30 or less. I'd make it less than that but I've gotta leave room for aces getting cracked. Of course, this blatantly ignores $/hour.]
[/ QUOTE ]
And what do we do on 2+2 when someone make some fat spankingly outrageous claim like that? Why, we wager of course.
So after a few PMs, we settle on a bet of $1,000. Adanthar has an account with $30 in it, can play only ministep 1s (and any freerolls earned thereafter). If he at any time gets an entry into a ministep 5, he wins and gets a shiny trophy (read: ten benjamins). If he has run his account to less than enough to buy in to a ministep 1 and has no freerolls left, I win the trophy and he gets a certificate of participation.
Since the money has been sent to an intermediary and the games begun, we can both now explain why we're so goddamn certain that we're getting the best of it. I estimate his chance of success to be 25%. I'm assuming that he's an outstanding player.
Would like to see what some of you think about this as the games play out, and what Adanthar has to say about it.
And boy am I ever going to have to eat my words if he makes it.
Everett