Re: Matt Matros article in Cardplayer about coinflips
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i call 55 in a heartbeat...
ask yourself this, would you do it if the buy in was $10 instead of $10,000 of course you would! now go back to the $10 games where you can make good decisions. 10k will be a penny in no time.
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So what you're saying... is that if you knew you where 75% better than your opponent... and your EV was positive every time you played him... you would take a 55% coin-flip to beat him? [img]/images/graemlins/confused.gif[/img]
I hope people don't back you in heads up tournaments. [img]/images/graemlins/wink.gif[/img]
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You have to remember that we aren't heads up, so don't bring that into the conversation. You are at a table with 8 other guys thinking the same thing you are. So even if you are 75% to beat him overall, you really are only about 11% to even get the chance to be the one who takes him out.
So yes, you should call as a 55% even if you are 75% better. Because that 75% really translates into about 9%. Hope that helps.
-Solo
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