Re: $22 bubble short stack is all in
Assuming .5, .3., .2 payout and no math errors, if you fold and shortie wins, your equity is 21%; if big guy wins, 30%. If you call and win, around 40%. If you call and lose, at best 23%, at worst 0% (best case being you lose no more on the river and shortie loses).
This looks like a fold. You don't really gain that much if you win, compared to the risk you're taking.
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