Re: Hou @ Indy
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down to +1600 uh oh
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lol yeah the difference between +1700 and 1600 is about the same as the discrepancy between +115 and +116.5....0.33%
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When the game's good, there is value to both if the threshold between win probability and price is sufficiently high. To break even on +1600, Houston needs to win 5.88% of the time. If you've calculated the probability as higher or much higher than this, the value is there.
i dont know much about moneylines, but are guys losing value by betting the ML as opposed the spread?
heres my thought. a bettor isnt going to lay that much juice with the colts (a novice, and def not a sharp) so i think the moneyline may be deflated for those who love to chase the big payday.
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