[JustPlayingSmart]

[ QUOTE ]
hm.. well i'm not going to be able to get away from this, i dont think, and i dont think we have any FE anymore, so now i want to trry and get some more money out of BB. If we push, he's probably not going to call w/o a set, but if we just call, he might push his big pair.

[/ QUOTE ]

If the flop raiser had A9d, gutshot and flush draw, and the pfr had an overpair, we are 44% to win the pot. If we get the pfr to fold an overpair, we are 58% to win.

1500 in preflop + the flop c-bet, plus 3700 from SB and flop raiser = 9400, which we could win 58% for a cEV of 5452.

If the PFR comes along, the pot would be 12600, which we win 44% of the time, a cEV of 5544.

Obviously, the flop raiser could have a different hand, but if we're one of the best players in the tournament, and the plays are close in EV, shouldn't we take the less risky of the 2 plays?