[ohnonotthat]

WHo happens to teach probability ?

YIKES !

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.12 cubed is not the correct answer.

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If "Joe", "Bob" and "Bill" all hold pocket pairs and it is known that both Joe and Bob flop sets, the chances of Bill also flopping a set is not .12

BAYES THEOREM is at work here.

If we know that "A" and "B" occured and want to know whether "C" occured, the chances are not static if we are referring to a series of DEpendent trials.

- The same would hold true if the calculation was to determine the chances of both AA and KK flopping sets in the same hand. Since the chance of "B" occurring is dependent on whether or not "A" occurs they are dependent and therefore do not lend themselves to the same method as . . .

If the chance of one die landing on 6 is 1:6 what are the chances that a set of two dice show 6-6 ?

For anyone who doesn't get it . . .

If AA, KK, QQ and JJ all see the flop, what are the chances that ALL FOUR flop a set ?

Zero, right ?

OK . . .

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