View Single Post
  #24  
Old 11-10-2005, 03:08 AM
baronzeus baronzeus is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: May 2005
Location: Palo Alto, CA/Bay101
Posts: 2,675
Default Re: not so sure about this...

[ QUOTE ]

I don't agree that it's quite "commonplace." But we're splitting some hairs at that point. If you're making 1BB/100 hands at limit where people play really aggressive, a 650BB downswing is remarkable, but not exactly lightning striking.


[/ QUOTE ]


Doing some quick math, there is about a 1 in 250 chance that a player making "true" 1BB/100 will drop 650BB over a 100K stretch. I guess "very unlikely" would be a better term to describe such a downswing.

Also, the reason I post so much and read and study vigorously (not sure if that's the word I want) is because I want to get better. And the better the player, the smaller the downswing. A 2BB/100 player going on a 650BB downswing is extremely unlikely -- I'd guess to the order of hundredths of a percentage chance.
Reply With Quote