Re: Manila.. who\'s played it??
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Three to a straight flush might be playable if you can see 4th street cheaply.
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Let me try to work this out:
If you have 4 to a flush with 3 cards remaining, there are 5 of your suit remaining in 32-4 = 28 cards. So your chance of getting at least one is 5/28+(23/28*(5/27+22/27*5/26) = 46%. Any straight possibilities are weaker hands but still gravy on top of that. You don't have to worry about boats.
So ignoring the straight possibilities you need something like 9:1 implied odds to see 4th and continue with the rest of the hand. Easy with three big streets (that's 6SB HU), assuming players don't autofold when the third flush card hits.
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