[deception5]

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I think this is a raise or fold situation. Since the pot is 16SB I'd probably go ahead and raise.

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Can you give some reasons for raising..do you think it will increase our chances of winning the hand? If so, why?

Thanks

Obliky

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We'd really like to get the button out so we can get this heads up with position. With the button hanging around there's a very good chance we're going to get knocked out of the pot whether the button is ahead of or behind us.

If we can get the button to fold even a hand like KQ/AQ/ATs, then there's a reasonable chance we can get to the river cheaply and outdraw the SB. It would be huge to get a free card here in such a large pot since we'll hit an A or K somewhere around 20% of the time.

This also forces the button to give us some information about his hand. Does he like it enough to 3-bet the flop? Is he willing to call 2 cold when it's possible that it's going to get capped? We should also get some information about SB's hand. A weak jack is usually not going to 3-bet or cap here, but a monster or a flush draw may. But then again a monster or flush draw would probably have gone for a check/raise, so it's more likely we're against something like JT or QJ here (or even a pocket pair lower than JJ). If the button 3-bets and the SB folds then that's good too.

Finally if we call we might as well just fold since we're essentially telling our opponents that we just have overcards that we can't let go of (why wouldn't we raise an overpair/set/flush draw/etc here?). There's a good chance we'll be trapped for extra bets.