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Old 11-08-2005, 11:59 AM
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Default Re: Post Blind or Wait for blinds when sitting down?

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How is he an idiot? His reply makes sense.

Though, my calculations show with a 1 BB/100 win rate, that it is NOT advantageous to post blind at all!

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The OP's analysis makes no sense at all [...]

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I think the problem with it is it's past the point
of statistical hairsplitting. Sure, you may have an
average win rate around 1-2BB/hr (more in very low
limit games), but that is an aggregate over thousands
of hands, or it isn't meaningful at all. To use it to
color a decision that applies to less than one round
of hands is not mathematically or common-sensically
sound. You might gain more by watching the play for
that partial round than by paying to fold 7 or 8
hands; but in any case, you can't make a claim on
the level of statistical aggregrates unless you're
willing to keep track of it over a few thousand
tables.

There's also table image to consider. If I see someone
post up right away anywhere but the cut-off, I figure
they're a complete rube and attack them.
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