Re: Lots of aggression on the flop
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yeah i'm definitely not convinced that we're behind to 99 or T9 just by that flop action. Button never really scares me in this hand too bad.
AT (3 combos) ok for us
KT (4 combos) good for us
QT (4 combos) good
JT (4 combos) good
T9 (3 combos) bad
99 (3 combos) bad
so if we don't discount, we have the best hand (or are tied) here 15 of 21 times. this is also assuming he won't cap with any other ten (which is not true, so maybe not discounting any of these hands gets us close). so we should still bet the turn.
the way it pans out it sure looks like BB has 78, but because i still feel confident about being ahead of button, i'm not folding here. i am however, hoping that it isn't 3-bet and capped back to me (in which case a fold would likely be prudent, but hard).
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Combo numbers is overkill here (as it often is). We're behind 2 hands on this flop. Overpairs are often raising/3-beting, as are straight draws, flushes, you name it.
We should really be leading this turn.
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