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Old 11-07-2005, 11:21 PM
Nick C Nick C is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2004
Posts: 1,582
Default Re: Top 2 vs super maniac and a fish

I would bet the river.

What's going to suck is that if MP2 raises, Button may 3-bet. Then you're going to know that MP2 probably made his flush, but it's still going to be hard to fold top two in this huge pot.

However, is MP2 really raising a flush draw on the flop? I guess it's possible, but you said he was a calling station. A hand like J [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 9 [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] is possible, and unfortunately so is 77, but I think it's more likely he has an ace.

And if that ace happens to be A [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 4 [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], I guess maybe he'll raise it on the river.

For his part, there is some chance Button has you beat or outdrew you, but I don't think there's any reason to assume he has a better hand. From the sounds of it, his raises pretty much mean nothing.
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