Re: How to keep a downswing going
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If he is a strong player he would know that <font color="green"> YOU </font> aren't scared of a backdoor flush and would know you would bet. Which means he can check-raise with AQ.
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I'd imagine he was going for a bet/3-bet, more than he feared I'd check the river behind. I think he should have basically figured out that I had a full house, by now.
I think a checkraise might be a good play for SB. There's a good chance UTG missed and isn't paying off any more bets (and if he's hung in this long with an ace he probably won't fold it now anyway). And, in fact, I would have bet if checked to and called a checkraise.
By the way (given Villain's actual river lead), I need to be good over half of the time to raise, unless I can confidently fold to a 3-bet. (And that's not a fold I'm capable of making.) The reason for this is that Villain will always 3-bet AQ but will often just call when he only has trips.
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