Re: commerce 20 40 .... who bets this river?
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Hero is SB with A9o. Villain is Button. CO posts. Folded to button he raises. I 3 bet. Everyone folds and button calls.
Flop is 9 8 7 rainbow
I bet, Villain calls
Turn is 6 completing rainbow
I bet, Villain calls
River J
Hero??
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I think if your opponent was going to bluff raise/semi-bluff raise it would have been on the turn so I like a bet. The J is scary because it's a likely card to pair a drawing hand. But if you bet the river you are representing an overpair or a straight and I think you can safely fold to a river raise ....while a pair that you have beat may check behind if you check. And I do think opponent will call the river with one pair if he/she called the turn.
If opponent has any bluff river raising tendencies then I like a check call.
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