View Single Post
  #4  
Old 11-05-2005, 09:50 PM
sy_or_bust sy_or_bust is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Nov 2004
Posts: 169
Default Re: Maybe interesting turn decision

I normally 3-bet the flop for value. I thought, in this specific situation, my line might be more useful. This is how I saw it during the hand:

1) MP might be raising for a free card.
2) MP might be raising a J[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]T[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] type hand.

If I 3-bet the flop, I take control and gain some EV, but I'm vulnerable to a turn raise and I will have a hard time winning unimproved.

If I call, and MP takes a free card, this is a fine result (agree?). If MP bets, he never has the lone club and always has a made hand. He may have a redraw, though I think he's more likely to just call the flop with a decent redraw. If I raise this bet, he'll fold a lot of hands with the reasoning "BB probably has me crushed already, and if not he will often draw out on me."

So when MP bets the turn, I am never ahead, and forcing a better hand to fold is valuable. Do you really think donking the turn or 3-betting the flop carries the same fold equity?
Reply With Quote