Re: (11) - AQ , call this push?
Fold ICM: .0893
Call & Win ICM: .1638
Call & Lose ICM: .0374
.0893= x(.1638) + (1-x)(.0374)
.0893-.0374= .1638x-.0374x
.0519= .1264x
x= .41
Technically 41%, but you're pretty close. I think you'll be 41% here fairly frequently against his hand ranges.
This being said, I think you may want to wait because I feel that you may be able to better use your stack on the bubble at an $11. I'm personally not taking the risk this early in a low buyin tournament. The math seems to justify it, but it does not take into account the ability to use a stack later, which may outweigh the gain in this call. It's close though.
-SonnyJay
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