Re: When to call with a draw HU
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I've got a gutshot to the idiot end; if he doesn't have the 8, I'm golden. Also I have the A, which I don't yet know is no good. (Ignore the backdoor nut flush draw). Figure 2 of my 3 outs to the A are good and 3 of 4 outs to the gutshot. That gives me 5 outs w/ 2 cards to come; about 22% probability.
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What about a 2? Both a 6 and a 2 will give you a straight. That adds an extra 4 outs to push you up to almost 40%.
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