Re: Advice on internet play
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If there's any flack for you to catch, it should only be for the "too many donkeys" comment. I'm pretty sure you know very well that the number of donkeys dramatically increases your chances of scoring in a tournament.
Idiots playing bad cards poorly bring the luck factor into sharp relief. That fact doesn't make those idiots any less valuable, or increase your reliance on luck to make the final table. If every player in the tournament played exactly as well as you do, your only hope would be luck. It's easy to recognize your own bad luck when your AA gets cracked by J8o, but harder to recognize your good luck when your KK holds up against a strong opponent's all in QQ. If you didn't suck out and you played it well, luck has nothing to do with it, right? But if he played it well too, the only thing that put you above him was the luck of having a better hand.
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Very good points. It's even harder to recognize your good luck when you are NOT in a hand that would have gone very bad for you.
How often did you decide to not play a hand, see it hit on the flop and damn your misfortune/bad decision and see it lose badly by the river? Happens to me, a lot. That's an example of being lucky by not playing.
That's not what I'm talking about in the 3 times lucky theory. What you are talking about is exactly what I mean.
There comes a point three times in every tournament where you need a gift from the gods to stay in it, double up, or correct an inequity--where opponent got lucky on the flop when WAY behind and you beat him on the river.
Does Harrington's "inflection points" not really involve an element of luck?
CJ
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