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Old 11-04-2005, 04:46 AM
ajm36 ajm36 is offline
Junior Member
 
Join Date: Mar 2005
Posts: 18
Default Re: any 2 can win...

First off, I suck. I hate your PF call.
I like your thinking on the flop though. Call me crazy, I raise. I count your fours and threes as full outs--the threes give you the best hand except for any four (I'm betting no one has a four). The four gives you the best hand except for pockets, but if you raise here you should know. Plus, a five improves you hand to an open ended straight draw--I count this as one out. A six improves you hand so I count these as 1.5 (it could also make a hand for someone else). I give you 6.5 outs. Break-even odds are about 6:1, given the pot size you can easily call a raise. Your raise--I think--has a positive expected value in this situation. Plus the raise gives you some momentum to bet out if the turn falls and you hear crickets chirping. However, the turn may force a fold if your hand does not improve. Comments telling me how stupid I am are welcome. Thanks
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