View Single Post
  #10  
Old 11-03-2005, 03:33 PM
Guest
 
Posts: n/a
Default Is 50BB really -that- short-stacked?

I've been thinking about this more and more, and it seems committing your full stack to TPTK seems a bit much...

An example:
1/2 blinds:

Here is dealt Q[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]Q[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] UTG in EP and raises to $10
gets 2 callers

Flop($30ish) comes T[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 9[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 5[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]
Hero leads for about $25.
Villain1 folds
Villain2 either (a) calls (b) raises me all-in

At this point:
Hero has $65 left
There is 30+25+65 in the pot for 120 total
bet to hero is the final $65, so we're getting about 1:2 pot odds.

Can we really say that the hero is ahead more than 1 times out of 3?

Possible villain holdings (for a weak player) that might reraise all and called a raise preflop:
ahead of me:
- AA,KK,TT,99,55,T9
behind me:
- JJ, 88, 77, 66, 44, 33, 22
- AT, KT, QT(unlikely)

I'm not sure what else I can put these players on. Possible flush draws I'm ahead? Maybe Ax[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], Kx[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] ....

I can probably forget about 2-pairs

Is there really enough I'm ahead of here to call the all-in?

From the combinations above, there are about 42 possiblities I'm behind, and about 90 possibilities I'm ahead. Of course, I'm not including suited connectors and Ax suited hands and suited overcard-broadways that might decide to put me all in.

Are people loose enough to play 40 more combinations of these to be behind me?
Reply With Quote