Re: I cost myself this hand
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thinking that if the turn action went bet/raise/3-bet that villain might lay KT down? I suppose that's possible but I doubt it. Not at .5/1 especially.
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If villian didn't fold to a c/r there's no way he's folding to a bet.
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I agree he's not folding, but do think I should have lead the turn. I replayed the hand in PT with the pot odds window on (been finding that helpful lately). If I had bet into the turn, he'd need 8 outs to call. This makes a set an iffy call, and calling with 2pr -EV. By my c/r-ing the turn, he needed only 6 outs to call, which he did correctly. He showed K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] T[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] for the boat. Doubt he would have folded to a turn bet, but by c/r-ing I gave him proper odds to suck out on me.
This is why I'm not sure how big a leak this is. I think I need work on late play (WSD,W$SD, AG numbers kinda weird). And I seem to lose a lot of rivers, but everyone feels that way. Comments on finding and fixing late game leaks appreciated.
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