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Old 11-03-2005, 12:28 PM
NLfool NLfool is offline
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Join Date: Jul 2003
Posts: 294
Default Re: Matusows AJ vs flush draw

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It did look like Mike was at least somewhat concerned about a set/turned FH. He did jsut call on the river.

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He just called because if his opponent had him beat he was going to reraise him and if he didn't have him beat then he was folding to a raise. There's negative value in raising the river bet.

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agreed but uh well there is no way someone can fold J9,JT, JQ, JK for a minraise on the river. Problem is if you factor in all the scenarios, flush draw, set, or guy holding the case J. All other possibilities outweigh you trying to get value from the case J, so you forgo the value here, and err on the side of caution
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