Re: How often is this an Ace?
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All opinions welcome.
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I don't see strength in that checkraise. I see someone wanting free cards and/or a cheap showdown. I put him on either a baby to middle pocket pair or a weak ace, all of which would be consistent with the preflop call. So, my line is to cap the flop. If he leads the turn, I call down; if he checks to me I bet. If he checkraises again then -- I don't know. I probably flip a coin and call down on heads.
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It's not very likely that he will get a cheap showdown or free card this way (out of position) - in both scenarios you presented he's putting in 2 bets on the flop and 1 on the turn... one more sb than if he just check/called.
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