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Old 11-01-2005, 12:20 PM
bakku bakku is offline
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Join Date: Feb 2004
Location: San Diego
Posts: 253
Default Re: 15/30 AKo vs jason_t

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I'm leaning towards a peel on the flop, and folding UI on the turn. Jason isn't gonna be capping with anything that we are ahead of right now

[/ QUOTE ]what range of hands do you put jason on that merits a flop peel + turn fold?

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I haven't played with Jason, but I'll take a guess at QQ-AA and AKs. I like the peel for the backdoor straight chances (22.5:1 I think), with top pair chances being a maybe or a maybe split.

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i think you need to add JJ into that range of hands. against AA-JJ i have a weighted 4.5 outs not including my backdoor straight outs. i'm not sure how to do the calcs if we add AKs into the mix, but it obviously adds value to my hand. even if jason's range is only AA-QQ, i'll have 3.75 outs which makes the turn a peel when you include implied odds, backdoor straight outs and the times he has AKs.

in short, folding the turn would be bad.
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