Re: I can\'t beat the 20-table SNGs
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Example of how bad the play is even late. At the final table, with 7 left, I was the short stack with 24k, blinds 1k/2k. I pushed 55 in MP and the guy right behind me called 70% of his stack with QhJh. Now I was pushing a lot on the button and in the small blind, but I'm pretty sure my range from this position with 12xBB has QJs beat pretty bad.
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You do realize that you're a slight underdog in this hand, right? Also, he may have figured you wouldn't push AA, AK, KK, QQ, and maybe not AQ/AJ/KQ/JJ. You probably want action on them (at least the 1st 4), you don't want to just fold everyone out. With 55 you usually don't want a call. Giving you a fairly tight range he's less than a 60/40 underdog, but maybe he had a better read on you than you think, or maybe he saw you steal so often he figured you for a super LAG who could push with anything. He could have been a total donk, but this wasn't a terrible call.
41,095,296 games 0.150 secs 273,968,640 games/sec
Board:
Dead:
equity (%) win (%) tie (%)
Hand 1: 50.8547 % 50.52% 00.33% { QJs }
Hand 2: 49.1453 % 48.81% 00.33% { 55 }
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643,826,304 games 1.342 secs 479,751,344 games/sec
Board:
Dead:
equity (%) win (%) tie (%)
Hand 1: 41.5769 % 41.08% 00.50% { QJs }
Hand 2: 58.4231 % 57.92% 00.50% { JJ-44, AJs-ATs, KQs, AQo-ATo, KQo }
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Calling 70% of his stack with QJs is a bad call, no other way about it...hero could turn over 23o and it doesnt make it any better a call...your logic about QJs being slightly ahead of hero's 55 is wrong...i think you know that.
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