Re: Tournament theory question
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Hero will win 73% of the time and lose 27% of the time.
If the hero just calls, 73% of the time he wins the pot and has t25,000. 27% of the time he loses and has t8,000. So the cEV of just calling is t20,410.
If the hero pushes and the villain calls, it's an all or nothing situation. I'm assuming the villain has at least as many chips as the hero. So, 73% of the time the hero wins the pot and has t33,000. 27% of the time the hero loses and busts out. The cEV of pushing is t24,090.
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Is the extra 4k equity in pushing really enough to offset the fact that once your out your done, and instead of having 40 big blinds you have 0 and have 0% chance to win?
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