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Old 10-30-2005, 08:11 PM
gumpzilla gumpzilla is offline
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Join Date: Feb 2005
Posts: 1,401
Default Re: REALLY struggling this month, please look at 6 hands

1. After the turn three-bet from my opponent I'm probably just going to stick it all in right there. No need to horse around against pairs and gutshot draws, and two pair hands (which I think are the most likely holding) will almost certainly call you. I think people are going to three-bet and fold pretty rarely in that spot. I'd probably make a bigger raise on this street (but not by much), and I think I'd bet more like 150-200 on the river, particularly if the pot had been pumped a little more on the turn.

2. I'm not wild about your plan (presumably) of betting 700 and then folding if the BB decides to push. Unless you normally do this kind of thing when you have 7 BBs, it seems like an enticement for BB to come at you and then you've made your life annoying. I think you can push, or you can limp and see if that draws SB to push over you, when you happily call. Maybe button will go nuts too. 88 seems too good to fold to me here.

3. Either way is fine, I think this is heavily dependent on how you like to handle things postflop.

4. Make a smaller flop raise, to 275 or so. It's pretty hard to fold on the turn, but I'm expecting to be shown JT or T9 more often than not given this action, AJ and 88 being the next most likely hands.

5. Sure, I think it's a pretty good call. You probably have 12 or 15 outs, you're getting a decent price to draw to 15, and you need to do some catching up. The closer you are to BB going to 100, the better this is.

6. I'm not sure I'd bet the turn there, but if I were going to bet it I'd probably push a little harder and bet more like 150 or so. I think checking down and calling small bets is the way to go here, as I think this is a WAWB situation more often than not (I'm not too concerned about the straight and backdoor flush draws in this instance.)
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