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Old 10-30-2005, 05:13 PM
McMelchior McMelchior is offline
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Join Date: May 2003
Location: New York, New York
Posts: 66
Default Re: KQo early on in a $5 + .50

[ QUOTE ]
His reraise on the flop should mean that he has a pair of kings beaten.

[/ QUOTE ] Or that he has 76o, of KJ, or that he's an unskilled LAG with a propensity to re-raise every time he's raised, not matter what he's holding.

I'm in the same tournament, and I witnessed a LAG with a big stack re-raise from the BB holding K3, CRing a low flop, and - bet into - pushing a K turn, all still on level 3.

This early on and without a prior history with a player in a $5 there's pretty much only guesswork left. These tournaments do not play like deep stack hi buy-in tournaments.

Hero is shooting himself in the knee by limping preflop, that's for sure. He can be up against any two at this point; from Villain's perspective Hero's preflop actions do not support a history of holding a strong K.

A certain amount of times Hero's going to bust out to a flopped set, but most of the time he'll be ahead, and most likely double up.

Compare the situation to a coinflip where Hero is at a small advantage. Against a Villain that's shown LAGgie tendencies on more than one occasion this early in the tournament Hero will find himself ahead far more often than behind, getting much better odds.

Push the flop.

Best,

McMelchior (Johan)
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