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Old 10-28-2005, 10:53 PM
ZootMurph ZootMurph is offline
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Join Date: Mar 2004
Posts: 151
Default Re: Tough spot on turn with draw.

This is close but I think it's a call at 6:1 odds (considering BB will call behind you and not raise, which is your best case scenario). Considering the betting, you'll get paid off if you hit an out and it is good, so you are really getting 14:2 implied odds).

Your two 5s are compromised by an AQ or AA hand. The A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] is compromised by a possible flush draw, and the Aces could put you in trouble against a 65. The 3 non [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 6s are the only outs I'm REALLY comfortable with, as it is doubtful a 75 is out there, LOL. The non [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] Aces are good enough of the time that you can count them. So, 5.5 outs for the 3 6s and 3 As. 1.5 outs for the A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 6[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 5[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 5[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]. 7 outs total. About 6.6:1 to win, getting 7:1 implied odds.

You will be up against 65 sometime, but not often enough to make this a fold. Further, you are most like up against a set and/or AQ, which means you will get paid off nicely on a river Ace or 6. The pot will definitely be big enough for them both to call at worst if you hit, so implied odds are definitely there.
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