View Single Post
  #48  
Old 10-28-2005, 01:14 AM
Guest
 
Posts: n/a
Default Re: Playing suited connectors

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
If they happen to make the wright one by staying in with the bigger flush draw....then Hero made the wrong move to raise. Because his flush outs are now dead and he only has 6 str8 outs to draw to ~24% equity + reverse implied on the flush.

[/ QUOTE ]

You're making right and wrong waaaaay too narrow. Villan is right to continue with any currently made hand, or any straight or flush draw, in a pot this size; UI overcards wouldn't be too wrong to continue, although they're drawing mighty thin.

[/ QUOTE ]

The pot is only 11sb when it reaches Hero.

Another very important factor in this hand.

If Hero 3bets.
SB is getting 3.5:1 (and failing his 'out of the rectum' check\3bet) he folds 99/100
When SB folds.
BB gets 7:1 on continuing. It's not a matter of 'overcards aren't too wrong in calling', it's more a matter that you WANT them calling and not giving them a difficult decision.

This probably argues pretty strongly for a preflop raise. It makes the decision for crappy hands to continue that much easier.


When SB does 3 bet. Assuming all of your outs are super squeaky clean, you have a 34% edge. HUGE. agreed. Should we cap?

Is 34% of the exta 4sb or 1.36sb worth it now you have fantastic position?

IMO no.

BTW. This is making the humungoid assumption all of your outs are squeaky clean.
What do you put the check\3betting SB on?
What about the cold/calling CO, who's only getting 5:1 on the flop with the threat of a reraise?

Granted, these thoughts aren't probably going through these players heads. But I've still got to think that at least one\two of these players are cutting into our $$ somewhere, making our edge a little smaller.
Reply With Quote