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Old 10-27-2005, 01:25 PM
llabb llabb is offline
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Join Date: Mar 2005
Posts: 159
Default Re: Amare Stoudamire - Fantasy NBA

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Our league is a 12 team roto league.
We have a 13 player roster (without an IL now that the NBA has dropped its IL) and will start 10 players (3G, 3F, 2C, 2Util).


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Do NOT draft Amare, and even if you're gonna do something -EV but for the fun of nabbing a big name late, no way should you do it before the 9th round.

Amare is an enormously -EV play in your (and most) leagues. He's out for 70% of the season. Most players who have had that injury and surgery think he'll be out longer. Read: Chris Webber situation. You don't just return to your normal stats once you come back, as well. It takes time to get back up to par, and you're looking at least at a 20% production drop inititally. You would likely have a healthy Amare for less than 20% of the season.

With only a 3-man bench and no IL, you cannot afford to tank a spot and only have a 2-man bench. Other injuries will occur. If you do this, you are also passing up on +EV WW pickups. The first month, there are always studs who surprise from nowhere. Getting one of these can often be the difference between success and failure. Cutting your bench by a spot drastically reduces your chances of landing one.

If we did have IL slots, Amare would be draftable, and it could be debated how high to take him. As is, Amare is undraftable unless you think he heals as fast as Wolverine.
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