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Old 10-18-2003, 10:36 AM
polarbear polarbear is offline
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Join Date: Dec 2002
Posts: 41
Default Re: 10-20 online river bet - easy or dumb?

If your KK is the best hand and you bet, you win 1 bet from each caller. On average that will probably be somewhere between 1 and 2 bets. If you check, neither of them will bluff and you'll win nothing.

If your KK is beaten by someone and you bet, you'll get raised. Then you lose 2 bets assuming you call the raise. If you check you lose 1 bet when you call.

So, if you have the best hand, you gain between 1 and 2 bets by betting, but if you don't, you lose 1 bet.

Considering that the chances that you have the best hand appear to be well over 40%, you should make the easy bet.

This is clear cut because you are first to act. If you had the button the risk/reward would be far different.
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