[AaronBrown]

I agree with eisanm. No one has a good enough model to answer this, there are too many different types of players. Plus the table make-up is important, it's not just the sum of the components. With a table of fish and one world champion, a good player might go broke even though he's above average for the table.

You'd need a large database of players playing against each other, then a lot of data analysis work to try to come up with a model that fits the data. Unless you work for an online Poker company, the only source I know is the IRC Poker Database. Before there was online Poker, people played on the Internet. The money wasn't real, but people took the games pretty seriously and the data are useful for a lot of theoretical work.