Re: Best Play in WS Game 4 tonight....
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I definitely like the OVER in this game. After dealing with Oswalt last night, the Sox will feel like Backe's throwing a beach ball at them at 40 mph. Sox win this one going away and get over the 8.5 all by themselves. It looks like the bettors have pounded the under in this game.
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Oswalt was throwing a beach ball last night. Mixed in an inordinate amount of curves and breaking pitches knowing he didn't have enough on the fastball. Garcia capable of keeping stros down and Backe will turn in a good performance trying to keep them in it. With both bullpens being used last night the question is can they turn in a good performance or will 3-4 runs be scored late off them.
I definitely see no value on any side tonight and don't feel like gambling on the o/u. Looks like I'll just be a fan tonight.
As I told my son when he couldn't believe I was on CWS ML last night. Rule #1 - It's about value. This AM I told him Rule #2. If there's no value there's no bet.
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